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MercadoLibre Trading at 35.63X P/E: Should You Exit MELI Stock?

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Key Takeaways

  • MercadoLibre trades at 35.63X forward P/E, above its industry average and key peers.
  • Second-quarter operating margin fell to 6.7% as investments and logistics costs pressured profitability.
  • Revenue topped $10B for the first time, while fintech monthly active users grew 30% year over year.

MercadoLibre, Inc. (MELI - Free Report) has a premium valuation, with its forward P/E multiple well above the industry average and key peers. The stock is currently trading at a forward 12-month price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple of 35.63X, above the industry average of 20.09X and its one-year median of 34.46X. 
 

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Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

MELI also trades at a sizable premium to key peers. Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN - Free Report) carries a forward P/E of 22.26X, while Sea Limited (SE - Free Report) trades at 20.41X. MercadoLibre's strong growth profile supports some valuation premium, but the current multiple leaves less room for execution setbacks. With profitability pressured by investments and earnings estimates moving lower, sustaining the premium will depend on continued growth and improved operating leverage.

MercadoLibre Faces Near-Term Challenges

A key concern for MercadoLibre is mounting pressure on profitability as management continues to prioritize long-term growth and engagement over near-term margins. In the second quarter of 2026, the operating margin was 6.7%, down 550 basis points year over year, reflecting higher investments across the business.

In Brazil, MercadoLibre lowered seller take rates in selected verticals and offered discounts to consumers using PIX. These initiatives are aimed at improving selection, pricing and engagement, but management acknowledged that they contributed to margin compression during the quarter. Higher logistics expenses stemming from energy costs also weighed modestly on profitability, with the company choosing to absorb part of the increase rather than fully pass it on to users.

The acquiring business is also facing additional cost pressure. Higher chip costs have made point-of-sale devices more expensive, while MercadoLibre’s decision to build device inventory in Mexico created an upfront margin drag, as the devices are sold at a loss to encourage adoption. Management indicated that the elevated device-cost environment could persist in the near term.

Mexico presents further challenges. Management cited tax reform and a weaker macroeconomic environment as headwinds to commerce growth. Overall, lower take rates, promotional spending, higher logistics costs and rising device expenses could keep MercadoLibre’s margins under pressure in the near term.

MELI Stock Lags the Broader Market

Shares of MercadoLibre have slumped 26.3% over the past year compared with the industry's and the Zacks Retail – Wholesale sector's respective declines of 6.3% and 7.5%. The stock has also underperformed the S&P 500's 14.8% gain over the same period. 
 

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MercadoLibre has underperformed Amazon as well. AMZN’s shares have advanced 8.6% during the period. Sea Limited, however, has fared worse, with SE stock declining 46.9%.

MercadoLibre’s Growth Engines Remain Strong

Despite the near-term pressures, MercadoLibre continues to benefit from healthy momentum across commerce and fintech. Second-quarter revenues surpassed $10 billion for the first time, supported by strong marketplace activity, expanding buyer engagement and continued growth in Brazil.

Cross-border trade is broadening merchandise selection and strengthening the marketplace, while Mercado Pago continues to deepen customer engagement through payments, savings and credit. Fintech monthly active users increased 30% year over year, and assets under management remained on a strong growth trajectory.

Advertising represents another promising growth avenue, helped by increasing adoption of AI-driven tools. Importantly, users active across both the marketplace and Mercado Pago are growing rapidly and generate greater activity across the ecosystem, reinforcing MercadoLibre's commerce-fintech flywheel.

Earnings Estimates Trend Lower for MercadoLibre

Recent estimate revisions add another layer of caution. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for MercadoLibre's current fiscal-year earnings per share has declined from $41.00 to $39.11 over the past 60 days. For the next fiscal year, the consensus estimate has fallen from $59.18 to $56.05.
 

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The downward revisions indicate softer earnings expectations despite the company's strong top-line expansion. Given MELI's premium valuation, continued negative estimate revisions could make it harder to justify the stock's current multiple.

How to Play MELI Stock?

MercadoLibre's long-term growth prospects across e-commerce, fintech, advertising and credit remain attractive, but the near-term setup warrants caution. MELI's 35.63X forward P/E remains well above the industry and key peers even after its sizable share-price decline. Meanwhile, aggressive investments are weighing on margins, Mexico faces near-term headwinds and earnings estimates have moved lower. These factors make the stock's current valuation harder to justify without stronger earnings momentum. Investors may therefore prefer to remain cautious on MELI and wait for greater visibility on margin improvement and stabilization in earnings estimates before taking a more constructive stance.

MELI currently carries a Zacks Rank #4 (Sell). 

You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

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